Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.637769 0.757021 0.886808 1.037864 1.208127 1.393393 1.609498
2025-03-23 0.445922 0.608676 0.804496 1.053930 1.359470 1.717763 2.165633
2025-03-30 0.324826 0.506669 0.746719 1.077715 1.512434 2.053795 2.767752
2025-04-06 0.228775 0.408447 0.668210 1.053931 1.593197 2.300618 3.276519
2025-04-13 0.172960 0.350349 0.628828 1.069764 1.719281 2.608045 3.878533
2025-04-20 0.130784 0.300586 0.589325 1.074704 1.824197 2.888530 4.457371
2025-04-27 0.100156 0.260977 0.556317 1.081135 1.926673 3.167260 5.045034
2025-05-04 0.075583 0.224503 0.520099 1.074562 2.004544 3.411038 5.592125
2025-05-11 0.055078 0.188781 0.476886 1.047896 2.044609 3.597101 6.061060
2025-05-18 0.042592 0.166833 0.455079 1.054381 2.136454 3.863757 6.657855
2025-05-25 0.030704 0.140783 0.418550 1.027234 2.166829 4.033602 7.113765
2025-06-01 0.023544 0.124858 0.400293 1.031728 2.250437 4.289881 7.709830
2025-06-08 0.017044 0.107520 0.375405 1.021006 2.308809 4.513546 8.274363
2025-06-15 0.014189 0.102148 0.379341 1.071493 2.484186 4.940875 9.180452
2025-06-22 0.011486 0.095570 0.378603 1.111650 2.643015 5.348206 10.070956
2025-06-29 0.007960 0.081757 0.353936 1.094415 2.689561 5.565698 10.662559
2025-07-06 0.006027 0.074306 0.345794 1.113959 2.808993 5.913955 11.479724
2025-07-13 0.004352 0.066196 0.333125 1.120515 2.902069 6.219186 12.235390
2025-07-20 0.003107 0.059103 0.321543 1.127814 2.996474 6.530023 13.009904
2025-07-27 0.002076 0.051537 0.305621 1.121315 3.060738 6.788217 13.702902
2025-08-03 0.001236 0.043181 0.283292 1.093881 3.077173 6.958254 14.249575
2025-08-10 0.000818 0.038521 0.273972 1.100642 3.168171 7.269701 15.048876
2025-08-17 0.000438 0.032049 0.253729 1.072600 3.178573 7.428690 15.586051